Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 6.791775 7.511141 8.310862 9.272978 10.408709 11.719012 13.363336
2024-10-06 5.838373 6.833899 8.041506 9.645174 11.768807 14.562453 18.659840
2024-10-13 5.013697 6.058812 7.391838 9.270988 11.949196 15.802816 22.148192
2024-10-20 4.431728 5.477516 6.860286 8.897655 11.970201 16.722716 25.367224
2024-10-27 4.033763 5.078788 6.502544 8.680884 12.133462 17.839359 29.270600
2024-11-03 3.752617 4.803074 6.273183 8.601514 12.468874 19.288318 34.390413
2024-11-10 3.678925 4.804057 6.431690 9.124446 13.878606 23.034990 46.512465
2024-11-17 3.532130 4.682805 6.390083 9.312710 14.733556 25.983579 58.985772
2024-11-24 3.319876 4.446038 6.145585 9.123591 14.840948 27.366984 68.167420
2024-12-01 3.163109 4.280096 5.995591 9.075715 15.210803 29.479374 82.051991
2024-12-08 2.990096 4.076952 5.768018 8.860418 15.195988 30.642144 93.783850
2024-12-15 2.854521 3.922904 5.607850 8.748961 15.381060 32.410101 111.044052
2024-12-22 2.756533 3.831898 5.561719 8.879936 16.213194 36.643018 153.152249
2024-12-29 2.696437 3.799010 5.614511 9.218890 17.648053 43.772659 249.204022
2025-01-05 2.533985 3.588714 5.341297 8.868307 17.307071 44.663714 295.963851
2025-01-12 2.386530 3.394588 5.082448 8.518397 16.901479 45.169124 346.429986
2025-01-19 2.273493 3.251074 4.903342 8.315028 16.845653 47.107659 445.782061
2025-01-26 2.188104 3.148863 4.791025 8.240528 17.128856 50.750457 655.127040
2025-02-02 2.184530 3.183767 4.930666 8.731005 19.160022 64.659222 2236.221945
2025-02-09 2.139917 3.145342 4.930068 8.907374 20.320602 75.829148 10661.293283
2025-02-16 2.056489 3.035030 4.784821 8.730204 20.305117 79.867263 51089.825537
2025-02-23 1.993938 2.958270 4.699193 8.685335 20.729334 87.733511 NaN
2025-03-02 1.918067 2.854558 4.554779 8.483473 20.566610 91.148682 NaN